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Steel & Metal
- China -

China’s July Steel Output Falls; Coal Production Also Slips

China’s steel production fell year-on-year in the latest monthly reading, with output dropping about 4% to under 80 million tonnes. Coal output also declined, down roughly 3.8% to just over 380 million tonnes. The data underscore ongoing pressures on supply and demand within China’s heavy industrial base, where authorities and mills have balanced environmental targets, profitability, and market conditions through 2025. The simultaneous declines in steel and coal reflect a cooling backdrop for bulk commodities tied to China’s industrial activity. Market watchers are monitoring whether the reductions are temporary or part of a deeper trend related to lower construction activity and manufacturing softness. The figures arrive as iron ore prices have wavered, with expectations for curtailed steel output weighing on raw material demand. Participants also note that shorter-term curbs or maintenance at mills can influence monthly readings, while power and environmental factors can constrain coal mining. The latest data will be closely watched by seaborne suppliers and shipping markets given China’s outsized role in global commodity flows. Any sustained downshift in steel output could temper imports of iron ore and coking coal and alter freight dynamics for the remainder of Q3 2025.

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