China's steel industry is facing a deepening crisis as the prolonged real estate slump has decimated demand for the country's steel, according to a Bloomberg report. Steel prices are plummeting, profits are dwindling, and the government remains focused on restructuring the economy rather than providing relief to the struggling sector.
The situation in China's steel market has far-reaching global implications. Iron ore prices are languishing while China ramps up steel exports, fueling trade tensions worldwide. Domestic demand for steel in China's construction sector is expected to decline by 10% this year, reducing its share of total consumption to just 25%, a significant drop from the last two decades. Other industries like household appliances and shipbuilding are showing growth but are not large enough to offset the real estate slump.
The slowdown in demand has triggered a sharp drop in Chinese steel prices. Rebar prices have reached a seven-year low, while hot-rolled coils have hit their lowest level in four years. Many producers are losing money on every ton produced due to higher costs. Factors like the introduction of new rebar quality standards in September are further complicating the market.
Global steel players, including ArcelorMittal, have voiced concerns about the impact of Chinese exports on the industry, and governments are echoing these worries. The slowdown in China's steel production has weighed heavily on iron ore prices and mining giants' profits. Port stocks of raw materials in China have grown monthly in 2024, reaching over 150 million tons as of August 1, which will put further pressure on iron ore prices.
While some producers have recently cut production sharply to balance supply and demand, analysts believe it is difficult to expect consumption to rebound without new stimulus measures. China's growing steel production capacity and aggressive export strategy continue to disrupt global steel markets, particularly in emerging economies.