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Shipping, Steel & Metal
- China -

Restocking and logistics: iron-ore port inventories and shipping pack the near-term risk map

Refinitiv/TradingView and other desk reports today emphasised that port inventories, shipping availability and short-term restocking by Chinese mills are the three operational levers most likely to determine seaborne iron-ore flows in the coming weeks. With Dalian and Singapore indicators showing modest build in sentiment and mills preparing for local production suspensions, shipping schedules and berth windows have become more critical: a tighter shipping market can amplify any production curbs into sharper seaborne tightness. Analysts said port inventories at major Chinese import hubs remain below multi-year averages in places, encouraging prompt cargo liftings and sometimes premium purchases of higher-grade material. Freight spreads, charter rates and destination flexibility were cited as secondary drivers; companies with flexible chartering or access to higher-grade stocks may be able to arbitrage temporary bottlenecks. Market participants advised close monitoring of vessel arrivals, port throughput notices and provincial enforcement circulars—data points that can deliver faster, direct signals to spot prices than headline monthly production statistics.

China’s CISA mills lift early‑October crude steel output 7.5%; inventories also climb

India’s steelmakers seek relief from import curbs as H1 met coke shortfall widens

China iron ore futures slip; Tangshan concentrate prices steady amid tight supply

Indonesia suspends all scrap metal imports after radioactive contamination detected

Serbia asks EU to exempt it from proposed new steel tariffs and quota cuts

U.S. judge signals approval of Rio Tinto’s $138.75 million Oyu Tolgoi investor settlement

Rio Tinto says strong Q4 needed to hit iron‑ore target after Q3 shipments of 84.3 mt; China demand firm

ArcelorMittal’s M&A chief in South Africa for talks on sale of local unit, sources say

EU plan to halve steel import quotas and double out‑of‑quota tariff to 50% raises Indian export risk

Copper tops $11,000/t on LME as supply disruptions and fund buying lift prices

U.S. container imports fall 8.4% in September; China’s share drops as new tariffs loom

Brazil steel imports expected to decline from October on China tax enforcement, weak demand

Iron ore futures fall on weak Chinese steel demand; restocking and capacity curbs in focus

Nomura lifts targets for JSW Steel and Jindal Stainless; sees 25–27% EBITDA CAGR on India demand